Diagnostic report for Operating Model

Operating Model Scenario

Configuration of the operating model.
Weighting NatM SR_sigmaR
BaseCase 0.195 0.397

Objective Function Values

Overall

The total and component overall likelihood values.
TOTAL 1612.4200000
Catch 0.0056377
Equil_catch 0.0000000
Survey 2.2116700
Length_comp 984.3860000
Age_comp 456.2070000
Recruitment -25.7155000
InitEQ_Regime 0.0000000
Forecast_Recruitment 0.0000000
Parm_priors 171.5540000
Parm_softbounds 0.0057033
Parm_devs 23.7625000
Crash_Pen 0.0000000

By fleet

The total and component likelihood values for each fleet.
Fleet Catch_like Init_equ_like Surv_like Length_like Age_like
ALL 0.0056377 0 2.21167 984.3860 456.207
1_BB 0.0000563 0 22.07640 122.8950 456.207
2_BB_isl 0.0003482 0 0.00000 71.5996 0.000
3_TR_GN 0.0003797 0 0.00000 35.4212 0.000
4_MWT 0.0000012 0 0.00000 33.1598 0.000
5_JPLL_N 0.0001759 0 -10.80170 95.6887 0.000
6_JPLL_S 0.0004452 0 1.81492 61.3748 0.000
7_TAILL_N 0.0001578 0 -11.14820 107.4190 0.000
8_TAILL_S 0.0004725 0 -13.26920 184.0130 0.000
9_USLL_N 0.0002975 0 4.83624 41.0150 0.000
10_USLL_S 0.0006344 0 -5.33266 36.8394 0.000
11_VENLL 0.0005566 0 14.03590 114.9600 0.000
12_MIX_KR_PA 0.0007322 0 0.00000 0.0000 0.000
13_OthLL 0.0007238 0 0.00000 0.0000 0.000
14_OthSurf 0.0006411 0 0.00000 0.0000 0.000
15_BBisl_s2 0.0000151 0 0.00000 80.0001 0.000

Model Fits

Catch

Fits (blue line) to the catch data (black dots) for all the fleets.

CPUE

Fits to the CPUE data. Each row corresponds with an index. The left-hand panels show the observed (dots) and model predicted (blue line) index in log-scale. The right-hand panels show the log deviations (the observation model is log-normal).

Length Compositions

Model predicted length composition (green line) and observed length composition (grey area) aggregated over all years for each fleet.

Length composition Pearson residuals showing residuals over time for each fleet. Closed bubbles are positive residuals (observed proportion is higher than expected) and open bubbles are negative residuals. The area of the bubble is proportional to the residual error.

Length composition Pearson residuals showing residuals over time for each fleet. Closed bubbles are positive residuals (observed proportion is higher than expected) and open bubbles are negative residuals. The area of the bubble is proportional to the residual error.

Conditional Age-At-Length

CAAL Pearson residuals showing residuals over time for fleet 1 (BB). Closed bubbles are positive residuals (observed proportion is higher than expected) and open bubbles are negative residuals. The area of the bubble is proportional to the residual error.

Stock-Recruitment

Time series of spawning biomass and recruitment estimated by the model (upper figures). The lower figures show the stock-recruitment relationship (Beverton-Holt) and the estimated log recruitment deviates.

Selectivity

The estimated selectivity-at-length for all the fleets in the terminal year of the assessment model. The x-axis represents the fish length (cm) and the y-axis is the selectivity value.

Stock Status

Reference Points

The biological reference points.
\(SSB_{MSY}\) \(F_{MSY}\) \(MSY\) \(SSB_{2021}/SSB_{MSY}\) \(F_{2021}/F_{MSY}\)
155221.00 0.15 45763.50 0.77 0.72

Kobe Plot

Kobe Plot