Diagnostic report for Operating Model

Operating Model Scenario

Configuration of the operating model.
Weighting NatM SR_sigmaR
BaseCase 0.516 0.328

Objective Function Values

Overall

The total and component overall likelihood values.
TOTAL 1573.7700000
Catch 0.0003129
Equil_catch 0.0000000
Survey -8.4111600
Length_comp 972.1100000
Age_comp 451.7880000
Recruitment -35.6807000
InitEQ_Regime 0.0000000
Forecast_Recruitment 0.0000000
Parm_priors 171.5800000
Parm_softbounds 0.0063409
Parm_devs 22.3775000
Crash_Pen 0.0000000

By fleet

The total and component likelihood values for each fleet.
Fleet Catch_like Init_equ_like Surv_like Length_like Age_like
ALL 0.0003129 0 -8.411160 972.1100 451.788
1_BB 0.0000001 0 0.836079 121.6630 451.788
2_BB_isl 0.0000150 0 0.000000 73.1369 0.000
3_TR_GN 0.0000007 0 0.000000 34.9821 0.000
4_MWT 0.0000000 0 0.000000 31.9170 0.000
5_JPLL_N 0.0000078 0 -9.963190 94.6455 0.000
6_JPLL_S 0.0000202 0 3.589600 60.2285 0.000
7_TAILL_N 0.0000055 0 -12.267400 105.2160 0.000
8_TAILL_S 0.0000259 0 -13.672300 181.0120 0.000
9_USLL_N 0.0000138 0 13.783100 40.3937 0.000
10_USLL_S 0.0000460 0 -2.123600 32.0438 0.000
11_VENLL 0.0000289 0 11.406600 116.9790 0.000
12_MIX_KR_PA 0.0000512 0 0.000000 0.0000 0.000
13_OthLL 0.0000508 0 0.000000 0.0000 0.000
14_OthSurf 0.0000464 0 0.000000 0.0000 0.000
15_BBisl_s2 0.0000006 0 0.000000 79.8923 0.000

Model Fits

Catch

Fits (blue line) to the catch data (black dots) for all the fleets.

CPUE

Fits to the CPUE data. Each row corresponds with an index. The left-hand panels show the observed (dots) and model predicted (blue line) index in log-scale. The right-hand panels show the log deviations (the observation model is log-normal).

Length Compositions

Model predicted length composition (green line) and observed length composition (grey area) aggregated over all years for each fleet.

Length composition Pearson residuals showing residuals over time for each fleet. Closed bubbles are positive residuals (observed proportion is higher than expected) and open bubbles are negative residuals. The area of the bubble is proportional to the residual error.

Length composition Pearson residuals showing residuals over time for each fleet. Closed bubbles are positive residuals (observed proportion is higher than expected) and open bubbles are negative residuals. The area of the bubble is proportional to the residual error.

Conditional Age-At-Length

CAAL Pearson residuals showing residuals over time for fleet 1 (BB). Closed bubbles are positive residuals (observed proportion is higher than expected) and open bubbles are negative residuals. The area of the bubble is proportional to the residual error.

Stock-Recruitment

Time series of spawning biomass and recruitment estimated by the model (upper figures). The lower figures show the stock-recruitment relationship (Beverton-Holt) and the estimated log recruitment deviates.

Selectivity

The estimated selectivity-at-length for all the fleets in the terminal year of the assessment model. The x-axis represents the fish length (cm) and the y-axis is the selectivity value.

Stock Status

Reference Points

The biological reference points.
\(SSB_{MSY}\) \(F_{MSY}\) \(MSY\) \(SSB_{2021}/SSB_{MSY}\) \(F_{2021}/F_{MSY}\)
91234.400 0.079 43700.000 2.215 0.414

Kobe Plot

Kobe Plot