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ICCAT MSE for other species

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Overview


This page summarizes the development of closed-loop simulation and Management Strategy Evaluation (MSE) processes under ICCAT for four key species/stocks:

Southern Swordfish
North Atlantic Porbeagle

Each section outlines ICCAT recommendations (if applicable), operating model development, candidate management procedures, and progress.

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South Atlantic Swordfish


ICCAT Recommendations

Although no formal MSE has been mandated for Southern Swordfish, the SCRS has acknowledged its potential utility and continues to evaluate stock status and management options.

Progress

The South Atlantic Swordfish closed-loop simulations began with a minimalist framework described in Taylor et al. (2022), which used multivariate life-history priors and CPUE clustering to develop four operating models (OMs) and test 42 candidate management procedures (MPs) using satisficing criteria. This work was expanded in Taylor (2023), which introduced hierarchical clustering of CPUE series, refined the OM structure, and incorporated visual inspection filters to improve MP screening. The most recent update, Taylor (2024), consolidates these methods, identifies 14 high-performing MPs across OMs, and outlines next steps, including MP tuning, incorporation of data lags, and enhanced performance evaluation.

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Northeast Atlantic Porbeagle


Preliminary MSE Work

Although a formal Management Strategy Evaluation (MSE) process has not been established, closed-loop simulation techniques have been applied to evaluate the implications of various data and assessment model configurations on the performance of candidate management procedures for Northeast Atlantic porbeagle shark. In the absence of a consistent time series of relative abundance for the stock, such simulation-based analyses are particularly valuable for exploring alternative assessment and management approaches.

Preliminary MSE work for Northeast Atlantic porbeagle has focused on simulation testing, the definition of operational objectives, and the influence of data availability on yield and conservation performance. Initial simulations, presented in Taylor et al. (2022a), applied closed-loop testing to a range of simple empirical management procedures. These early trials revealed that management performance varied considerably across candidate procedures, particularly with respect to yield and the risk of stock depletion. The analyses followed the structured MSE framework outlined by Punt et al. (2016), incorporating operating model specification, objective setting, and evaluation of performance metrics.

A complementary document, Taylor et al. (2022b), proposed a set of management objectives, associated performance metrics, and graphical tools intended to support stakeholder engagement and transparent evaluation of candidate management procedures.

At present, no active MSE development is underway for Northeast Atlantic porbeagle shark.

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References

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Materials

Rec/Res

Meetings

SCRS Docs

Others

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Updated: July 7, 2025

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